November 28, 2007

Who is Bush kidding?

Doesn't it go without saying that the Annapolis Conference is just a really dumb idea? Bush, Olmert, and Abbas are all too weak to make anything meaningful happen. Shas and Yisrael Beyteinu are ready to bolt from Olmert's coalition at any mention of Jerusalem. Abbas does not have control of the Gaza Strip and barely has control of the West Bank. Even his Fatah faction is segmented. Add in a bunch of random countries (Senegal?!), 16 of whom do not recognize Israel. Syria is there on the outside chance Olmert will talk about the Golan Heights. (If you want to see Olmert's coalition partners sprint like an Olympic runner, just tell them he's giving the Golan back to Syria.) Hamas, not surprisingly, is threatening violence both if the talks succeed in a pact or if they fail. Everyone will be discouraged from future talks once these inevitably fail. Bush is sadly mistaken if he thinks now is the time to turn Clintonesque and challenge the sides to make up before his presidency ends. I dare you, Annapolis -- prove me wrong.

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